As I am sure many of you realize, Monday was a very big day in the NFL. On Monday we were able to officially find out which underclassmen were going to make the leap from college to pro and which players were going to stay behind for another year of collegiate education. Every year we get surprises, as some players we thought would make the jump don't, while other who could really use another year of development come out too early. This year was no different. Guys who I had as first rounders chose to stay in school like Arizona Cornerback, Antoine Cason and Louisville Quarterback, Brian Brohm. Then there was Colt Brennan declaring. NFL beware, Colt will be a bust. Don't draft him.
Now that the underclassmen have declared, and we can see how all of the players performed in their final bowl games, here is my updated mock draft for 2007.
1. Oakland Raiders - JaMarcus Russell, QB, LSU
The Raiders have lots of needs, including QB, and Russell is a talent. Unfortunately he is not the best QB in this draft. That honor goes to Brady Quinn, but expect the Silver and Black to pass on the pocket passer, and choose the more athletic (read: Al Davis likes speed) Russell.
2. Detroit Lions - Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin
Thanks to a win in the final week, combined with the Raiders' general ineptitude, the lions don't have the first overall pick and that is a blessing. At 1, they would have had to pick a QB, which they don't really need. At two, they can go for the best lineman in the draft, a position that will definitely provide help, and Thomas is the class of this class.
3. Cleveland Browns - Adrian Peterson, RB, Oklahoma
Cleveland could very well look to select DT Alan Branch with this pick, but I expect them to try and improve a pathetic running game from last year. The team is committed to Frye, and therefore wont select Quinn, but Peterson provides him an immediate special weapon. Much will depend however on Peterson's med reports from the combine.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Calvin Johnson, WR, Georgia Tech
Johnson is simply the best player in the draft. He really should go higher. The Bucs will choose him here at four and be very happy for having done so. He will immediately give Sims another top target, and Joey Galloway will no longer have to do it all himself. He is not a spring chicken anymore.
5. Arizona Cardinals - Leon Hall, CB, Michigan
Arizona desperately would love to land Joe Thomas, so don't be surprised to see them look to trade up, but if they stay here, and Thomas is off the board, they will look to improve their secondary. Leon Hall is the best corner in the draft, and will make a nice 1-2 with Antrell Rolle in the desert.
6. Washington Redskins - Jamaal Anderson, DE, Alabama
Washington's defense was plagued all year by an inability to get after the QB. Anderson is one of the fastest rising prospects on the board right now. He has the right mind set for an NFL pass rushing end and has the skills to go along. Clemson's Gaines Adams is also a possibility here and Michigan DT, Alan Branch will get some consideration, but in the end I see Anderson getting the call.
7. Minnesota Vikings - Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson
Like Washington, Minnesota could not get pressure on opposing signal callers this season, so a pass rusher will be the priority. I think the Vikes would be happy to see Adams still available to them at this juncture, and I expect him to be in purple in 07.
8. Houston Texans - Alan Branch, DT, Michigan
What Houston really wants to see happen is for Cleveland to select Branch #3, and then see Peterson fall to them here, and it is becoming a more realistic possibility every day, but if Peterson is off the board, I think the team will look to select Branch as he is too talented to pass on. He is a beast in the middle, and next to Mario Williams and Demeco Ryans, their defense will be set for years to come.
9. Miami Dolphins - Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame
Like Matt Lienart last year, and Ben Rothlisberger the year before, this is too far for a top signal caller to fall. But rest assured, this is what will happen. With the status of Daunte Culpepper still uncertain, the Phins will not let the best QB in the draft pass them by.
10. Atlanta Falcons - Michael Griffin, S, Texas
Bobby Patrino has just been inked as the new HC for the Falcons, and he is an offensive mind, so this may not play as planned, however, the Falcons really need some help in their secondary. Lawyer Milloy is getting long in the tooth, and DeAngelo Hall is the only young playmaker in the secondary. Ted Ginn Jr is also a possibility if Patrino chooses to acquire more weapons for Vick, but right now I just don't see it.
11. San Francisco 49ers - Ted Ginn Jr, WR, Ohio St
This year we saw Frank Gore erase all doubts of his ability to be a play making back. Now add Ginn to the mix, and the Niners offense could be scary. With former 1st overall selection, Alex Smith at QB, Frank Gore at RB, Vernon Davis a freaky TE, and then Ginn. Good luck NFC west defenses.
12. Buffalo Bills - Darrelle Revis, CB, Pitt
Revis is a bit of a stretch pick here for Buffalo, however, the Bills proved last year they are not afraid of reaching as they selected Whitner about 10-15 picks too early, and McCargo about 2-3 rounds too early. I expect to see superstar corner, Nate Clements, bolt Buffalo this offseason, weakening an already needy secondary. Enter Revis.
13. St Louis Rams - Lemarr Woodley, DE/LB, Michigan
Lemarr Woodley reminds me a lot of Chargers all-pro linebacker, Shawne Merriman. If this proves to be true, I don't think the Rams defense will be a league laughing stock for much longer.
14. Carolina Panthers - Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC
During the offseason, I believe that both Keyshawn Johnson and Keary Colbert will be gone from Carolina. This will make the biggest priority a big, possession type receiver the priority. Jarrett is big and has great hands. He will go across the middle, and can quickly provide the second option to Steve Smith that the Panthers will need without Keyshawn.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers - LaRon Landry, S, LSU
Despite the rather pedestrian 2006 campaign, the Steelers really don't have many needs. As a result they will be in a good spot to fill based on talent upgrades. If Jarrett was to fall to them he may be a consideration to replace the size at WR lost when Burress left the steel city for NYC, however, I dont think he will still be on the board when Pitt picks. This means Landry, a top rated safety on many boards will be available to place opposite Troy Polomalu, really giving the Steelers a young, talented defensive safety corps.
16. Green Bay Packers - Marshawn Lynch, RB, California
The Pack, despite their record, are one of the least talented teams in the NFL right now. If Favre retires, that will reduce their talent even more. The talent that Green Bay does have is getting old, and replacing an aging injury prone Amahn Green with Marshawn Lynch will only bring good to the cheesehead nation.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars - Levi Brown, OT, Penn St
Jacksonville was very inconsistent last season, at times looking like the NFL elite, and at times looking like a top 10 pick. With it being bye-bye Byron in Jacksonville, the new QB will need some protection, and although Jacksonville was good last year, they were not great. Levi Brown comes in to make a good line great and provide time for either Garrard or Gray to make the throws to lead the offense.
18. Cincinnati Bengals - Amobi Okoye, DT, Louisville
The Bengals need to get better with their interior defense. John Thornton is simply not the man to get the job done. Okoye is a super young phenom (20 yr old who was a 4 year starter at Louisville) with a tremendous upside, who is vaulting up draft boards all over. If he has impressive workouts in Indy, Okoye could go even higher.
19. Tennessee Titans - Quentin Moses, DE, Georgia
Few players are falling down the board as fast as Moses. After the 2005 season, Moses was projected to be the top DE available for this draft. Now after a truly subpar senior campaign, Moses, finds himself falling. If he can regain his 05 abilities, the Titans will have gotten a steal in the draft at this point.
20. New York Giants - Jeff Smardzija, WR, Notre Dame
The G-men have a few needs if they are going to compete for a division title next year, the least of which is not replacing Tiki Barber. Unfortunately for them, Peterson and Lynch will both be gone by this point, and they will have to look elsewhere to provide stability to young Manning. Smardzija is a big and fast target, and showed great hands as Brady Quinn's favorite option at Notre Dame. Across from Burress and along with Shockey, Manning will have options . The question is, what will he do with them.
21. Denver Broncos - Marcus McCauley, CB, Fresno St
With the tragic death of starting cornerback Darrent Williams, the Broncos are going to need to look for a replacement. Thankfully, they are deep in the secondary. Still McCauley gives them options, and will allow for someone to push Foxworth for the starting job opposite Bailey.
22. Dallas Cowboys - Justin Blalock, OL, Texas
The Boys could very well choose a safety like Reggie Nelson from Florida with this pick, but i think their needs on the o-line will outweight those in the secondary. Blalock is big mauler who can play multiple positions on the line. He could be the replacement for Larry Allen that America's team so sorely needs.
23. Kansas City Chiefs - Robert Mecham, WR, Tennessee
The offense in KC needs an additional target to Eddie Kennison in the worst way. Dante Hall is better as a return man, and Samie Parker, doe not scare anyone. Mecham was the Vols leading reciever, and led the nation in yards per catch. He has good hands, and a good size/speed combination. He may be the missing piece in KC's quest, which is also likely to bee QB Trent Green's swan song.
24. New England Patriots (from Sea) - Reggie Nelson, S, Florida
It is no secrete that the Pats need depth in their secondary and at WR. Nelson is the best player from either position still on the board. He is playmaker, and his ability to play either safety or corner will be used extensively by Super Coach Bill.
25. New York Jets - Michael Bush, RB, Louisville
Despite their impressive 2006 campaign, don't be folled, the Jets still have some holes to fill. They are weak at corner, and on the d-line. Their linebackers are step slow (except for Vilma), and they need to get a consistent running game. Who knows what the deal is with Curtis Martin, and although Leon Washington did an admirable job this past year, the Jets need an everydown back like Bush who can take pressure off Pennington.
26. Philadelphia Eagles - Lawrence Timmons, LB, Florida St
Ultimate, the Eagles would like to see one of the three top safeties fall to them, but when that doesn't happen, they will select the fastest rising linebacker in Timmons. Timmons had a great year, and combine that with freakish combine workouts like I expect, and Timmons will continue his vault up the board.
27. New Orleans Saints - Paul Posluzny, LB, Penn St
For the Saints to get a guy like Paul Posluzny here is a match made in heaven. The Saints need more from their linebacking corps. Paul is simply a football player. His measurables at the combine will not impress as compared to Timmons or Woodley, but he simply gets the job done. Payton would be drooling to add a charater guy like this to his locker room.
28. New England Patriots - Dwayne Bowe, WR, LSU
Since they addressed their secondary with the first of their two picks, look to the Pats to go after Bowe with the second. Last years selection of Chad Jackson has not yet panned out, although are notoriously slow to make the transformation, and Bowe gives them a big presence at WR.
29. Baltimore Ravens - Aaron Sears, OL, Tennessee
The Ravens are in excellent position comming into this draft with very few needs. If Thomas bolts for greener pastures, they may look to OLB HB Blades from Pitt at this pick, otherwise Sears helps solidify an already good line. To pick for filler is really a great place to be on draft day.
30. San Diego Chargers - Steve Smith, WR, USC
With their early exit from the playoffs this year, the Chargers were exposed to have a weakness. Against the Pats, the Chargers wide outs looked more like the Dolphnins crew that led the league in drops than the high powered offense they were. Truth is, McCardell is starting to show his age, and the other guys on the receiving corps are not marque players like Vinny Jackson or Eric Parker. Steve Smith is a SoCal local, and will also give Rivers another top weapon to throw to.
31. Indianapolis Colts - Demarcus Tyler, DT, NC State
Regardless of their recent resurgence, Tony Dungy knows his defense has got to get better. With the career of Corey Simon in doubt and Booger McFarland so far having little impact, Tyler both fills a need and provides value. Considering this past year Tyler posted his best numbers, while not having the protection of first rounders Mario Williams, and Manny Lawson on his team, states oogles for his skills.
32. Chicago Bears - Troy Smith, QB, Ohio State
After laying an egg in the national title game, Troy Smith has begun to fall down many draft boards. I think this is where the Hiesman winners fall will end. The Bears have question Grossman all year, and Griese is definitely a backup. Smith could step in and give the Bears an athletic signal caller who knows how to win.
Stay tuned for future mocks as the combine changes everything.